Which will be the first year the USA has less than 15k traffic deaths? (42k in 2024)
Société et culture6aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNever, or only in 2033 or later 69.2%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète16 févr. 25, 18:52 UTC2 févr. 33, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which will be the first year the USA has less than 30k traffic deaths? (42k in 2024)
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PolymarketRègles
Each bucket is two chances to win! All years are inclusive
- Every calendar year Jan - Dec is a measurement point.
- If you think it won't happen, even including 2032, then bet the option for it not happening.
- I've chosen a restricted range so that skeptics have a shorter term option.