Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleTed Budd (R-NC) 78.1%En tête parmi 34 options
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète24 sept. 26, 07:20 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Mamdani run for re-election?
KalshiWhich US Senators and Candidates will win?
Manifold MarketsWill both Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff remain US senators through year-end?
PredictItWill Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Susan Collins win re-election to Maine's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market tracks whether specific U.S. Senators run for re-election in the 2028 U.S. Senate elections.
- Each answer (representing an individual Senator) will resolve independently:
- YES: If the Senator officially files paperwork (e.g., FEC Form 2 Statement of Candidacy or state-level equivalent) to run for re-election to the U.S. Senate in 2028, and they remain an active candidate up until their state's official filing deadline.
- NO: If the Senator publicly announces their retirement, declares their candidacy for a different office (in states where they cannot run for multiple offices) instead of the Senate, or fails to file for re-election by their state’s official filing deadline.
- NO: If the Senator resigns, passes away, is removed from office, or otherwise leaves office before the filing deadline and is thus not a sitting Senator seeking re-election during the 2028 cycle.
