Prévision communautaire actuelle
Harald Malmgren 100%En tête parmi 31 options
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète20 oct. 25, 09:35 UTC1 janv. 30, 10:23 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which American public figures will serve jail time before 2030? [unlinked, add responses]
Manifold MarketsWhich celebrities/public figures will serve prison time as a result of evidence from either Epstein or Diddy files?
Manifold MarketsWhich public figures will outlive @Orangey?
Manifold MarketsWhich of the following public figures will transition before 2027
Manifold MarketsUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PolymarketUS Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This is a place to track which public figures have assigned academic credence to the possibility that aliens/UAP are real and have been covertly studied for decades.
- Will resolve "yes" as individuals express publicly that there is sufficient evidence to suggest a secret program.
- Will resolve "no" when either (1) individuals die or (2) a secret program is demonstrably proven nonexistent.
- Really though, it's a place to keep track of which scientists are open to the UAP topic and bet on when they will reach that point in their scientific inquiry.
