Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleThe web will not substantially improve before 2032 85%En tête parmi 27 options
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète20 nov. 23, 00:03 UTC4 avr. 32, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
The web is the dominant protocol for social computing.
- It's possible that the future's web will not have continuity with the web browsers of today.
- If the present batch of web browsers are deposed, which project will the deposer emerge from?
- Definition: A "next web" has arrived when a browser with a new rendering engine for a new site format becomes popular (adoption from 30% of people) while lacking tight integration with a fully webkit-compatible HTML renderer.
- It may (and probably should) be able to visit or embed traditional web pages, but these pages lack most of the above features, and most of the pages people actively use are in a new format.
- Background: The current web has fundamental issues.