Prévision communautaire actuelle
Reform UK 62.1%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète8 juil. 26, 04:42 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Nigel Farage wins the Clacton by-election, will he be recalled anyway?
Manifold MarketsWill voter turnout be higher in the Clacton by election
Manifold MarketsAnother Clacton by-election called in 2026?
PolymarketWill Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?
Manifold MarketsTX-11 House election: August Pfluger vote percent
KalshiWill Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the party whose candidate is elected at the second Clacton by-election held between 8 July 2026 and the date of the next general election.
- If no such by-election takes place, this market will be voided.
- Clarifications
- The close date may be changed as necessary.
- To bet on the result of the first by-election, see this market: