Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDemocrats 97%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète16 janv. 26, 08:18 UTC4 nov. 26, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which Party will win the 2026 US Senate Election in Ohio?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Georgia?
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 US Senate Election in Rhode Island?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican Party win a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExWill the Democratic Party win a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExWill Elon Musk create a political party in the US by the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
Les critères de résolution ne sont pas encore disponibles pour ce marché. Cette section sera remplie lors des prochains rafraîchissements une fois les règles de la source enregistrées.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 114,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.7%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 185,9 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.4pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which Party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Massachusetts? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Democrats à 97% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which Party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Massachusetts? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which Party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Massachusetts? doit être résolu le 4 novembre 2026.
- Où Which Party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Massachusetts? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur ForecastEx, PredictIt.