Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 26 juil. 2026, 22:20 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Prévision communautaire actuelleDemocratic 89.5%+1.1pt
Prévisionnistes
52
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour hier
Obsolète17 juil. 25, 8:1031 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Democratic90%
Comparer les plateformes· Democratic
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold MarketsCette page | — | 90% | — | — | — | hier | |
 PredictIt90% de correspondance · auto | — | 86% | — | — | — | il y a 12 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur PredictIt
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Georgia?
4.0 pts11mo
-4.0pt86%
11%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRègles
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate wins the 2026 election to the U.S.
- Senate from Georgia.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party if such individual is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed affiliation, of that party.
- PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$10216 juil.10j de données26 juil.
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The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate wins the 2026 election to the U.S.
- Senate from Georgia.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party if such individual is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed affiliation, of that party.
- PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.