Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDemocratic 92%
Prévisionnistes
58
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète17 juil. 25, 08:10 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which Party will win the 2026 US Senate Election in Ohio?
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 US Senate Election in Rhode Island?
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Massachusetts?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican Party win a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExWill the Democratic Party win a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExWill Elon Musk create a political party in the US by the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate wins the 2026 election to the U.S. Senate from Georgia.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party if such individual is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed affiliation, of that party.
- PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
- PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 114,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.7%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 185,9 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.4pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Georgia? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Democratic à 92% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Georgia? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Georgia? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Georgia? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate wins the 2026 election to the U.S. Senate from Georgia.
- Où Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Georgia? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur PredictIt.