Prévision communautaire actuelle
PP 83%+12.5ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+16.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète31 oct. 26, 05:34 UTC30 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the People's Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsSpanish general election: voter turnout
KalshiHow many seats will Vox get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsWill the next Spanish general election be held before 2027?
Manifold MarketsSpanish general election: Vox vote percent
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the political party that wins the highest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies (Congreso de los Diputados) in the Spanish general election scheduled for November 29, 2026.
- Primary Source: Official election results published by the Ministry of the Interior (Ministerio del Interior) or the Central Electoral Board (Junta Electoral Central - juntaelectoralcentral.es).
- Tiebreaker: In the event that two or more parties tie for the highest number of seats, the market will resolve to the party among them that received the highest total popular vote share nationwide.
- If the election is postponed past 2026, this market will resolve based on the next Spanish general election held.
- Coalitions running on a joint national list will be treated as that unified entity.
