Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleRepublicans 60.4%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+1.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète15 janv. 26, 09:02 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will win the 2026 United States Senate election in Iowa?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?
KalshiWhich party will win the Senate in 2026?
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Senate election in New Jersey
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Oklahoma?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the Senate in 2026?
LimitlessRègles
Les critères de résolution ne sont pas encore disponibles pour ce marché. Cette section sera remplie lors des prochains rafraîchissements une fois les règles de la source enregistrées.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 114,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.7%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 185,9 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.4pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Iowa ?
- Manifold Markets cote Republicans à 60% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Iowa sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in Iowa doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.