Which party will win New Mexico in the 2028 presidential election?
8.7 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionAmérique latine2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDemocratic Party 86.3%+8.7ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+8.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
6 nov. 26, 00:40 UTC8 nov. 28, 12:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves to the party of the presidential ticket that gets New Mexico's electoral votes in the November 7, 2028 election, however New Mexico awards them: by its own vote, by the national popular vote under an interstate compact, or any other way.
- If electoral votes are replaced by another system, it follows whatever say New Mexico has in that system; N/A if it has none.
- Only the party matters: a ticket on the Democratic or Republican line counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Any other ticket resolves to Other, or to its own answer if one has been added.
- Resolves on the electors New Mexico certifies, or earlier once the AP has called the state and nothing could change it.
- If those electors are split between tickets, it resolves to each party in proportion to its share of them.
