Which of the following scenarios is likely to occur regarding Netanyahu’s trial?
PolitiqueIAGéopolitique1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle1) Prolonged limbo via security delays 86.4%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète16 juil. 25, 22:08 UTC31 déc. 26, 21:45 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution Criteria:
- Prolonged limbo via security delays : The anticipated verdict slips past 2026
- Immunity law passed (retroactive immunity)
- Criteria: The Knesset passes and enacts a law specifically granting immunity to Netanyahu, either prospectively or retroactively, after his trial began, with effective date allowing dismissal of his current charges.
- Proof needed:
- Text of law explicitly states immunity covering Netanyahu’s ongoing indictments.
