Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAt least $50B 93.7%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard9 août 26, 20:31 UTC1 oct. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by which date?
PolymarketUS Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on October 1st 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS government shutdown on October 1st 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS announces another drawdown of Strategic Petroleum Reserve before October 1st
Manifold MarketsWhich nicotine pouch brands will be bought by Big Tobacco?
PolymarketAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves to the mark price on MNX for the Moonshot pre-IPO valuation contract on October 1, 2026 midnight PT.
- The MNX contract settles to the valuation in billions of dollars after market close following IPO, or if no such listing occurs, to the last public valuation at the end of 2027.
- If the market is not live October 1st (including in its current private, invite-only state), this market resolves N/A. Tradeable soon on mnx.fi 👀
Marchés ouverts
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 31,6 k €
POLYMARKETIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
- Yashar+3.0pt60.4%
- Likud-2.0pt39.6%
- Together-0.1pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt98%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt95%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,5 M €
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $1.75–$2.0T+9.0pt27.2%
- $2.0–$2.25T+2.6pt24.3%
- $2.5–$2.75T-0.9pt15.5%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIPOs before 2027?
- Cerebras100%
- SpaceX+0.1pt100%
- Wealthfront+0.7pt100%
+31 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- SB Energy IPO by which date?
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Moonshot AI valuation on MNX (October 1st) ?
- Manifold Markets cote At least $50B à 94% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Moonshot AI valuation on MNX (October 1st) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Moonshot AI valuation on MNX (October 1st) doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment Moonshot AI valuation on MNX (October 1st) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves to the mark price on MNX for the Moonshot pre-IPO valuation contract on October 1, 2026 midnight PT.