Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAIME thresholds 98.8%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète16 avr. 26, 02:30 UTC2 mai 27, 02:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
USA(J)MO cutoffs are biased?
Manifold MarketsWhich of the following will I achieve in the 2026-2027 TST Cycle?
Manifold MarketsWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill I remain in Montreal past September?
Manifold MarketsWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
KalshiRègles
An official public announcement on the MAA website, an official email announcement to competition managers, an official announcement on student or competition manager portals, or any other form of official public announcement by MAA will result in a YES resolution, provided the announcement has cutoff numbers
- For AMC 8/10/12 DHR/HR, cutoff numbers for top 1% and top 5% being posted on the MAA EdVistas Score Distribution page will also suffice for a YES resolution
- DHR refers to Distinguished Honor Roll / Honor Roll of Distinction (top 1%)
- HR refers to Honor Roll / Distinction (top 5%)
Marchés ouverts
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt47.6%
- 65-89+5.0pt28.6%
- <40-3.0pt15.2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 35,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 11,8 k €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No99%
- Yes-67.0pt1%
- Volume total
- 10,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 7,4 k €
KALSHIWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- No87%
- Yes+1.0pt13%
- Volume total
- 8,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 k €
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-2.0pt76%
- Yes+2.0pt24%
- Volume total
- 14,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 608,1 €
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume total
- 515,7 €
- Volume 24h
- 515,7 €
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volume total
- 515,7 €
- Volume 24h
- 515,7 €
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
- Is Earth flat?
- Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which cutoffs will MAA announce in the 2026-27 competition cycle? ?
- Manifold Markets cote AIME thresholds à 99% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which cutoffs will MAA announce in the 2026-27 competition cycle? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which cutoffs will MAA announce in the 2026-27 competition cycle? doit être résolu le 2 mai 2027.
- Comment Which cutoffs will MAA announce in the 2026-27 competition cycle? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : An official public announcement on the MAA website, an official email announcement to competition managers, an official announcement on student or competition manager portals, or any other form of official public announcement by MAA will result in a YES resolution, provided the announcement has cutoff numbers