Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleUSA Rare Earth 54.8%En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 heures
Obsolète13 oct. 25, 12:01 UTC20 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration
KalshiWhat will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
KalshiWill DeSantis have a role in Trump’s administration?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump administration defy any SCOTUS ruling before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsCourt packing during Trump administration?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will the US take a stake in?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" for any company in which the United States Federal Government, under the Trump administration, acquires a direct equity stake.
- A "direct equity stake" is defined as the US Federal Government owning shares of the company's stock, resulting from an investment, bailout, or other financial transaction that confers ownership.
- The stake must be publicly disclosed through official government channels (e.g., Treasury Department announcements, SEC filings) or widely reported by reputable financial news organizations (e.g., The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, Reuters).
- The market will resolve "No" for any company that does not meet this criterion by January 20th, 2029.
- ("Trump administration" colloquially refers to the 47th administration.)
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 180,5 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-13.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-9.0pt32%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T21.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T19.2%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 105,1 k €
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+21.0pt84%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Weed rescheduled by which date?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which companies will the Trump administration take a stake in? ?
- Manifold Markets cote USA Rare Earth à 55% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which companies will the Trump administration take a stake in? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which companies will the Trump administration take a stake in? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment Which companies will the Trump administration take a stake in? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria