When will we know that COVID-19 came from a laboratory? [Unlinked Multiple Choice Derivative of Existing Market]
TechOne-OffSanté et médecineMétéo
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBy January 2080 44%En tête parmi 14 options
Prévisionnistes
35
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète24 nov. 23, 22:12 UTC4 oct. 50, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market is a derivative of the existing largest market about the laboratory release theory:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory)This is an unlinked market, where months can resolve independently.
- If the original market resolves YES, all future months resolve YES.
- If the original market resolves NO, all future months resolve NO.
- Otherwise, a month resolves NO if it arrives without the original market having resolved YES.
- I will add new months as old months expire, and can add more months by request.
