When will the jet plane gifted by Qatar to the US and Trump replace the current Air Force One?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNever or 2029 and After 48.5%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète19 déc. 25, 17:21 UTC1 janv. 29, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the jet plane gifted by Qatar to the US be transferred to the Trump presidential library (or similar) by 2029?
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PredictItNorth Dakota St. vs Air Force
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES when the Air Force has completed upgrades to the Qatari Boeing 747-8 and Trump uses it as Air Force One.
- Resolution requires documented evidence of Trump boarding and flying on the aircraft in an official presidential capacity.
- The market resolves NO if Trump's presidency ends before the plane is operational, or if the plane is permanently decommissioned or transferred without being used by Trump.
- The Trump administration accepted a $400 million luxury Boeing 747 from Qatar, described as a "flying palace".
- Two new Boeing 747-8 planes are being customized to become the next generation of Air Force One under a $3.9 billion deal announced during Trump's first term, but the project has been marred by setbacks and the aircraft aren't expected for several more years.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will the jet plane gifted by Qatar to the US and Trump replace the current Air Force One? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Never or 2029 and After à 49% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will the jet plane gifted by Qatar to the US and Trump replace the current Air Force One? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will the jet plane gifted by Qatar to the US and Trump replace the current Air Force One? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment When will the jet plane gifted by Qatar to the US and Trump replace the current Air Force One? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria