Prévision communautaire actuelle
Before 2032 92.5%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète5 août 26, 08:15 UTC31 déc. 35, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
In what year will SpaceX first launch Starship more times than Falcon 9?
Manifold MarketsWill a Democratic Senator say something positive about Trump's death within 24 hours of it happening?
Manifold MarketsWill Grand Theft Auto 6 make more than $1.2 billion within 24 hours of it's release?
Manifold MarketsWhen will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35
KalshiSpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026?
FutuurSpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028?
FutuurRègles
On the Q2 2026 SpaceX earnings call, Elon said that they aim to launch once per day in 2027, possibly more.
- This market asks a weaker question: when will they launch Starship twice within a 24 hour time period? This can be from different launch sites and with different Starships and different types of Starships.
- Since the launch sites could be in different time zones, local time of the second launch at the second launch site will be used for resolution.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6 k €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- 736,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
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- Best AI at the end of 2026?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will SpaceX launch 2 starships within 24 hours? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Before 2032 à 93% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will SpaceX launch 2 starships within 24 hours? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will SpaceX launch 2 starships within 24 hours? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2035.
- Comment When will SpaceX launch 2 starships within 24 hours? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : On the Q2 2026 SpaceX earnings call, Elon said that they aim to launch once per day in 2027, possibly more.