Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBefore 2037 62.4%En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète14 nov. 25, 17:37 UTC2 janv. 37, 04:29 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
KalshiWill Florida PALM go live as scheduled on January 11, 2027?
Manifold MarketsGrand Theft Auto VI: Songs on radio at launch
KalshiGTA VI will have Spotify integration for the in-game radio
Manifold MarketsTop U.S. Radio Song (Based on Audience Impressions): 2026
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRègles
The best worst radio station.
- Multiple market answers can resolve YES, and market answers can also resolve independently over time instead of all at once.
- (This is Date Threshold mode.)
- Market resolves based on the date SexFM radio is broadcasting live again, either through sexfm.live or by some other means and confirmed by the original creator(s).
- (We're using ET timezone if it's somehow relevant.) New videos being added to the archive do not count.
- The context (26 min video): https://youtu.be/cMOUp_XpblM?si=z1SswNq-SdK7QGeh
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 342,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 91,2 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 90,8 k €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 264,6 k €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 84,3 k €
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- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will SexFM radio go live again? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Before 2037 à 62% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will SexFM radio go live again? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will SexFM radio go live again? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2037.
- Comment When will SexFM radio go live again? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The best worst radio station.