When will peaceful democratic transition of power happen in Russia for the first time?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionRussie / Ukraine3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Before 2050 37.4%En tête parmi 5 options
Before 2050 37.4%Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 56 minutes
En retard20 févr. 24, 15:35 UTC2 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
So far at no point in Russian history has the power in the country transitioned to the opposition as a result of a democratic election.
- All power transitions happened either to a designated successor, or within the same party or political force, or via some sort of revolution or regime change.
- Will peaceful transition of power happen for the first time in foreseeable future?
- For this market to resolve positively, the following has to happen:
- A candidate not endorsed by the ruling party or force has to win in the presidential elections.
- They should assume office within the next few months after the elections.
