Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
En attente d'une résolution vérifiée
CoinRithm attend un règlement confirmé par le fournisseur avant de traiter ce marché comme résolu.
Prévision communautaire actuelleBefore August 2026 100%+1.0ptEn tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
33
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 jours
Obsolète5 nov. 25, 14:1920 juil. 26, 18:49
Chronologie des Probabilités
Before December 20250%
Before January 20260%
Before February 20260%
Before March 20260%
Before April 20260%
Before May 20260%
Before June 20260%
Before July 20260%
Before August 2026100%
Before September 2026100%
Before October 2026100%
Before November 2026100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· Before August 2026
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global82% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 100% | — | 242,1 € | 3,6 k € | il y a 10 jours | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold MarketsCette page | — | 100% | — | — | — | il y a 5 jours |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Kimi K3 released by which date?
0.4 ptsFermés
Résolu
July 31 (100%)
+0.4pt100%
-0.5pt0%
-0.7pt0%
+1 résultats de plus
49 • Faible qualitéSpread serréLiquidité moyenne
Volume total54 k €
Volume 24h242,1 €
POLYMARKETRègles
Minor changes to the name, such as 'Kimi K3.5', or other names for a model generally expected to be called Kimi K3, will count for the purpose of this market.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
- @cstO2OAIhZ (this market)
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$1.2k11 juil.5j de données16 juil.
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Best AI model on August 1?
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POLYMARKET
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
21,6 k €Before Sep 1, 2026: 24%
KALSHI
KALSHI
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
8,2 k €Before Oct 1, 2026: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6,2 k €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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DeepMind CEO Says AGI Will Be Bigger Than Electricity or FireDecryptRègles
Minor changes to the name, such as 'Kimi K3.5', or other names for a model generally expected to be called Kimi K3, will count for the purpose of this market.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
- @cstO2OAIhZ (this market)