Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 21 juil. 2026, 14:30 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Prévision communautaire actuelle
2026 99.6%+0.5ptEn tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
83
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 jours
Obsolète10 juil. 24, 9:3631 mars 29, 22:59
Tendances
0.1%
0%
99.6%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
20240%
Marchés Associés
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
138,4 k €United Russia (ER): 57%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next French Presidential Election
96,3 k €Marine Le Pen: 32%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Clacton by-election Winner
54,4 k €Nigel Farage: 96%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?
600,6 €Oui: 7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich UK party will next take a decisive second place in the polls?
536,3 €Conservatives: 13.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Germany's Federal Constitutional Court rule that the 2025 election votes must be recounted (BSW complaint)?
524,3 €Yes, full recount: 6.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
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Keir Starmer is the new Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.
- The years since the Brexit referendum have been characterised by massive instability at the top of British politics.
- First David Cameron resigned, then Theresa May called a snap election, lost her majority and was removed by her party.
- She was replaced by Boris Johnson, but he struggled to keep Parliament running after he expelled a number of his own MPs and was forced to call a snap election himself.
- He won a stable majority and people were predicting that he could stay on as Prime Minister for a decade...
- But within two years he had been brought by scandal and his party replaced him with Liz Truss.