Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNo breakup / none of these years 66.9%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
1 mai 24, 17:28 UTC1 janv. 45, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This question will resolve to the time bracket in which a QUALIFYING BREAKUP occurs (or to “No Breakup” if it does not occur).
- A QUALIFYING BREAKUP is defined as when a portion of territory currently part of Canada becomes its own independent country.
- The country need not be recognized by the United Nations or any other state, but it must have its own system of government (including the exclusive right to levy taxes and spend public money) that stands independent of the current Canadian government.
- A QUALIFYING BREAKUP will have been said to occur even if the new state is part of a voluntary association of countries such as the European Union.
- A province defying the will of the federal government (i.e. by refusing to remit taxes or enforce federal laws) will not count as a QUALIFYING BREAKUP so long as the jurisdiction has not formally declared independence.
- The date of formal independence will be used to determine the appropriate time bracket.
