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Données au 26 oct. 2026, 00:01 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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Human population will not decrease before 2100 26.5%En tête parmi 5 options
Human population will not decrease before 2100 26.5%Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète17 juil. 24, 01:13 UTC2 janv. 00, 04:59 UTC
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Règles
Which year will the population of humans on January 1st be less than the population of humans on January 1st the year prior for the first time in recorded history?
- This includes all humans not on Earth as well.
- This question doesn't ask when population will peak; human population may well continue to increase the following year.
- Assuming it is still active, https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/world-population-by-year/ will be used as the reference.
- Population models from the United Nations predict that this may happen within the next hundred years. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:World_Population_Prospects.svg Although, a number of reasonable possibilities may break these models.
- An existential risk materializing could make this sooner than expected.
