What year will a publicly available, feature-length adaptation of HPMOR be released?
DivertissementOne-Off
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
2031-2035 34.2%En tête parmi 10 options
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10
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Variation 7j
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Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète26 déc. 24, 18:31 UTC1 janv. 00, 07:59 UTC
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KalshiRègles
In which calendar year will a film adaptation of Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality (HPMOR) first become publicly available, meeting all of the criteria below?
- Resolution Criteria
- Length: The final product must be at least 60 minutes in total runtime.
- Based on HPMOR: It should be a recognizable adaptation of Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality.
- Minimal or moderate changes from the text are acceptable (as is typical when adapting from a written work to film).
- Public Release: The complete film must be publicly accessible in some form—e.g. YouTube, a streaming platform, direct download, or even a limited theatrical release.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What year will a publicly available, feature-length adaptation of HPMOR be released? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 2031-2035 à 34% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand What year will a publicly available, feature-length adaptation of HPMOR be released? sera-t-il résolu ?
- What year will a publicly available, feature-length adaptation of HPMOR be released? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2100.
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- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : In which calendar year will a film adaptation of Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality (HPMOR) first become publicly available, meeting all of the criteria below?