Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleA US federal government server is compromised 72.1%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+22.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 minutes
21 oct. 26, 15:41 UTC21 avr. 27, 15:36 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market resolves based on negative outcomes attributed to CVE-2026-109618 / CVE-2026-109619 AKA 'php2shell'
- I am allowing for a week to modify detailed criteria based on feedback.
- In all cases, the outcome must have php2shell as its main/proximal cause.
- "compromised" means that an attacker was able to steal user/company data OR modify the website OR cause monetary/health/other damages
- The standard for resolution is credible reporting, I won't trade.
- Only impacts reported up to the close date (2027-04-20) count.
