Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleSeptember 13 - 19, 2026 1.9%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète2 nov. 25, 07:00 UTC29 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Magic Kingdom have a fireworks show every night from August 12 to September 10?”
Manifold MarketsWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill a US state cease to recognize same-sex marriages by 2029?
Manifold MarketsDid Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?
Manifold MarketsIdaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
PolymarketWill Prince Andrew testify publicly before Congress in 2026?
PredictItRègles
The week in which Biden dies and all weeks after shall resolve to Yes.
- Eastern Time used.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Weekly Biden Death Markets [August 23 - September 19, 2026] ?
- Manifold Markets cote September 13 - 19, 2026 à 2% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Weekly Biden Death Markets [August 23 - September 19, 2026] sera-t-il résolu ?
- Weekly Biden Death Markets [August 23 - September 19, 2026] doit être résolu le 29 septembre 2026.
- Comment Weekly Biden Death Markets [August 23 - September 19, 2026] est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The week in which Biden dies and all weeks after shall resolve to Yes.