Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBefore July 2027 83.7%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète18 oct. 25, 14:11 UTC1 juil. 27, 14:07 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a non-Anthropic company make a Mythos-class model generally available worldwide in 2026?
Manifold MarketsKalshi generally available to UK customers by when?
Manifold MarketsPolymarket generally available to UK customers by when?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
PolymarketBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the date when Waymo officially launches a fully driverless (no human safety driver present) public ride-hailing service in London.
- The service must be generally available to the public for booking rides via the Waymo app or a confirmed partner application.
- The resolution will be based on an official announcement from Waymo (e.g., on its official blog or press releases) or a definitive statement from the UK Department for Transport (DfT) or Transport for London (TfL) confirming the commercial availability of such a service.
- Evidence of availability will include the ability for the general public to request and complete rides without a human safety driver in the vehicle.
- The mere commencement of testing with or without safety drivers, or limited pilot programs not generally available to the public, will not be sufficient for resolution.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8am EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 961,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 741,9 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 701,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 685,8 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.4pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 907,2 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Waymo generally available in London when? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Before July 2027 à 84% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Waymo generally available in London when? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Waymo generally available in London when? doit être résolu le 1 juillet 2027.
- Comment Waymo generally available in London when? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria