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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. US House District 11 November 2026 results conditional market
Manifold Markets

US House District 11 November 2026 results conditional market

One-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection4mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Manifold Markets
Connie Chan advances; Scott Wiener wins 67%
En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes

14

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 jours

Obsolète
13 mai 26, 16:103 nov. 26, 23:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
Manifold Markets
Saikat Chakrabarti advances; Saikat Chakrabarti wins
0.5%

Résultat choisi

Connie Chan advances; Scott Wiener wins67%

Règles

All options assume Scott Wiener advances to the general election -- market resolves N/A if not.

Manifold Markets
  • For example, if the primary result ends up as Connie Chan + Scott Wiener, then we know the Saikat options will resolve No, and after the final result one of the remaining options will resolve Yes.
  • Market closes based on official results https://www.sf.gov/departments--department-elections.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Règles

All options assume Scott Wiener advances to the general election -- market resolves N/A if not.

Manifold Markets
  • For example, if the primary result ends up as Connie Chan + Scott Wiener, then we know the Saikat options will resolve No, and after the final result one of the remaining options will resolve Yes.
  • Market closes based on official results https://www.sf.gov/departments--department-elections.