Trump sends uniformed military to polling stations during 2026 midterm elections?
PolitiqueGéopolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20262mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 60.3%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 heures
Obsolète12 déc. 25, 01:55 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a significant polling error at the 2026 US midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWidespread reports of ICE or DHS agents guarding polling stations during Trump II
Manifold MarketsWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PolymarketRepublican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- The 2026 midterm elections will take place in November 2026.
- This market resolves YES if uniformed military personnel are deployed to polling stations during voting on election day or early voting periods. "Uniformed military" means active duty, National Guard, or Reserve personnel in official military attire.
- The deployment must be to the actual polling location or its immediate vicinity (within 100 feet).
- Resolution sources: News reports from major outlets (AP, Reuters, NPR, etc.), official statements from the Department of Defense, state election officials, or court filings documenting such deployments.
- The market resolves NO if no such deployments occur.
