Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBefore Q3 2027 33.8%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète5 août 26, 18:26 UTC31 déc. 26, 19:25 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Kai Trump gets a Boyfriend (or SO) by 2027
Manifold MarketsTrump gets impeached by January 20, 2029
Manifold MarketsTrump gets ANOTHER uk state visit before the end of his second term
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market is of type DATE and will resolve to the date on which Donald Trump next engages in sexual intercourse (vaginal, anal, or oral sex) with another person.
- Source of Truth: Resolution will rely on credible mainstream media reporting, court depositions/filings, official memoirs, or public statements by either Trump or the other involved party that are widely accepted as factual by reputable news organizations.
- Uncorroborated tabloid rumors will not be sufficient.
- Determination of Date: The market will resolve to the actual date the sexual act occurred, rather than the date it was publicly reported.
- If only a range of dates is confirmed, the midpoint of that range will be used.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 693 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 266,9 k €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7 k €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Trump gets laid next by ?
- Manifold Markets cote Before Q3 2027 à 34% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Trump gets laid next by sera-t-il résolu ?
- Trump gets laid next by doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Trump gets laid next by est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria