Trump gets ANOTHER uk state visit before the end of his second term
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 70.9%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète17 janv. 26, 04:29 UTC20 janv. 29, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
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FutuurRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Trump receives an official state visit to the United Kingdom after September 19, 2025 and before January 20, 2029 (the end of his second term).
- An official state visit is defined as a formal diplomatic visit where Trump is hosted by the British monarch with full state ceremony, as recognized by the UK Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office or the Royal Household.
- Resolution can be verified through official announcements from the UK government, the White House, or the Royal Family's official channels.
- Trump completed a state visit to the UK from September 16-18, 2025, during his second presidency—his second state visit overall, with the first occurring in June 2019 during his first term.
- Historically, US presidents are typically invited for tea with the British monarch if they visit the UK for a second time while in office, and Trump's predecessors George W. Bush and Barack Obama only made a state visit once, receiving tea at Windsor Castle during the end of their second terms.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Trump gets ANOTHER uk state visit before the end of his second term ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 71% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Trump gets ANOTHER uk state visit before the end of his second term sera-t-il résolu ?
- Trump gets ANOTHER uk state visit before the end of his second term doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment Trump gets ANOTHER uk state visit before the end of his second term est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria