Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOpus 5.1 or higher update before Q4 85.2%+6.9ptEn tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète26 juil. 26, 19:1531 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Haiku gets it's 5 version52%
Tendance du volume
$21026 juil.3j de données28 juil.
Marchés Associés
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
26 €Trump bans abortion nationwide: 3.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf elected, will Graham Platner vote more like John Fetterman or Elizabeth Warren?
9,3 €John Fetterman: 15%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
0 €Oui: 37%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?
0 €Oui: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will JD Vance integrate rationalist bloggers into significant D.C. influence by 2028?
145,2 €Oui: 13.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
0 €Oui: 20%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraphRègles
Betting on 1 out of 3
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/TheWabiSabi/hegseth-patel-or-rfk-is-out-within)