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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Régulation
  3. Elon's Tesla promises, Q1 26 Prop Bets
Manifold Markets

Elon's Tesla promises, Q1 26 Prop Bets

RégulationOne-OffIATech6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Manifold Markets
At least 100 Cybercabs produced in 2026 99%
En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes

9

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour avant-hier

Obsolète
24 avr. 26, 11:5531 déc. 26, 16:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
Manifold Markets
Roadster unveiled before May 24th 2026
0%

Résultat choisi

At least 100 Cybercabs produced in 202699%

Règles

Will Tesla/Elmo fulfill their projections/promises?

Manifold Markets
  • I reserve the right to modify resolution criteria based on feedback from comments up to Apr 27th.
  • All production questions only include items produced to be sold on the market, not prototypes or similar.
  • Robotaxis count only if running:
  • without a human driver
  • continuously without any definite end date or larger breaks in operation (no one-off stunts)

Marchés Associés

Manifold Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

146,8 €
≥$0.6T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026

380 €
≥$1T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of June 2027

328 €
≥$1.75T: 97%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

0 €
Oui: 94%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

343,5 k €
Anthropic: 88%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

45,2 k €
Anthropic: 90%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,963.68+2.52%EthereumETH$1,660.88+1.86%SolanaSOL$65.35+1.78%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.60%BNBBNB$597.16+1.90%XRPXRP$1.12+0.59%

Actualités Associées

Crypto tax bills draw scrutiny as House hearing opens debateCrypto NewsCrypto tax bills a work-in-progress as U.S. House lawmakers pose concernsCoindeskKristin Smith pushes Senate to protect crypto developers in CLARITY ActCrypto NewsSolana Institute CEO says CLARITY Act must shield open-source developersCointelegraphAnthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsParadigm challenges FDIC over controversial stablecoin yield banCrypto News

Règles

Will Tesla/Elmo fulfill their projections/promises?

Manifold Markets
  • I reserve the right to modify resolution criteria based on feedback from comments up to Apr 27th.
  • All production questions only include items produced to be sold on the market, not prototypes or similar.
  • Robotaxis count only if running:
  • without a human driver
  • continuously without any definite end date or larger breaks in operation (no one-off stunts)