"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide)
DivertissementOne-OffBox Office / Streaming5moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93.9%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
29 août 26, 01:36 UTC1 mars 27, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.6 billion worldwide?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
Polymarket"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?
Manifold MarketsWill Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be delayed?
PolymarketAvengers: Doomsday: Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Spider-Man: Brand New Day (2026) achieves a lifetime worldwide box office gross of $2,797,501,328 ($2.79 billion) or more by February 28, 2027.
- If it does not reach this milestone by that date, the market resolves to NO.
- Resolution will be determined using the official worldwide box office figures reported on:
- Box Office Mojo All-Time Worldwide Chart
- The Numbers All-Time Worldwide Chart
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 98 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 80 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4 M €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide) ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 94% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide) sera-t-il résolu ?
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide) doit être résolu le 1 mars 2027.
- Comment "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria