Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 66.2%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
31 août 26, 06:59 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide)
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketWill Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be delayed?
PolymarketRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRègles
This market resolves YES if "Spider Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.6 billion worldwide during its initial theatrical run, and NO otherwise.
- The resolution source will be BoxOfficeMojo.
- I may resolve early if it becomes overwhelmingly clear that BND is not grossing enough anymore to pass the threshold.
Marchés ouverts
Box Office / StreamingKALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+12.0pt96%
- Above 50+33.0pt95%
- Above 55+36.0pt79%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 253,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 42,7 k €
KALSHIParamount+ App Downloads in September
- Above 7957%
- Above 84+42.0pt54%
- Above 8252%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 75,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 143,8 €
KALSHIDisney+ App Downloads in September
- Above 119-8.0pt45%
- Above 12539%
- Above 12736%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,6 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIHow many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
- above 13,500,00090%
- above 13,750,00080%
- above 14,000,00074%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 107,9 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETWill Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
- No+2.1pt96%
- Yes-2.1pt4%
- Volume total
- 3,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- —
- Will Shrek 5 be delayed?
- Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?
- Will "Oasis: Don’t Look Back In Anger" earn more than $22M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their openi
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avengers: Endgame"? (>$2.8B worldwide)
- Will Disney+ shut down by the end of 2026?
- Will Taika Waititi's Star Wars film come out before Grand Theft Auto 6?
- Will there be a "Wicked 3" movie?
- Will the next James Bond (after "No Time To Die") be played by a woman?
- Will a new numbered, mainline Star Wars movie be released before 2027?
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.6 billion worldwide? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 66% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.6 billion worldwide? sera-t-il résolu ?
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.6 billion worldwide? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.6 billion worldwide? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if "Spider Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.6 billion worldwide during its initial theatrical run, and NO otherwise.