Sam Bankman-Fried gets pardoned or granted clemency by EOY 2032
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineCrypto6aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80%
Prévisionnistes
38
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète15 nov. 22, 01:45 UTC31 déc. 32, 22:17 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Donald Trump gets pardoned or granted clemency by EOY 2032
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Bankman-Fried successfully appeal any of his convictions or sentence?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Bankman Fried receive a criminal penalty at least as severe as life imprisonment with the possibility of parole before 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if pardoned or granted clemency by a president, monarch, etc.
- Prosecutorial discretion doesn't count.
- Jury nullification doesn't count.
- Judicial sentencing discretion doesn't count.
