Will Sam Bankman-Fried successfully appeal any of his convictions or sentence?
PolitiqueOne-OffCriminalité et justiceCryptoÉlectionRégulation6jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 23:51 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 97%
Prévisionnistes
28
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard4 nov. 23, 22:31 UTC1 nov. 26, 07:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES if any of his 7 convictions are overturned or he asks for and gets a resentencing.
- Resolves NO when his direct appeal is over or his time to appeal has lapsed, e.g. cert denied at SCOTUS.
- Update 2026-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A presidential pardon does not count as a successful appeal and would resolve the market NO.
