Republicans win Texas governor by 6+ points?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 202611j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 73%
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28
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
11 oct. 26, 01:42 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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2026 Texas gubernatorial election - Wikipedia
- Greg Abbott is the Republican nominee.
- Resolves Yes if the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas by 6 percentage points or more.Outcome verified from Texas Secretary of State or Associated Press.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Resolves same as Kalshi
