Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 67.4%
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard18 juin 24, 07:52 UTC1 janv. 30, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the tiananmen square deaths still be censored in China by 2045?
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KalshiRègles
Resolves as YES if, before 2030, Amazon prevents people from reading or downloading eBooks that they previously purchased from Amazon because the content violates Amazon's content policies.
- For example, if Amazon blocks you from reading or downloading your eBook copy of Huckleberry Finn because the n-word violates new content guidelines, then this resolves as YES.
- If your Kindle copy of the Satanic Verses has paragraphs or pages censored or omitted because Amazon considers them Islamophobic, then this resolves as YES.
- If Amazon is enforcing a country's censorship laws, that does not count.
- For example, if you go to China, tune into Wifi, and find that your copy of Xi Jinpeng's unauthorized biography is blocked by Amazon, then this claim does not resolves as YES.
- In that case, Amazon is likely censoring the eBook to comply with China's wishes, not because Amazon thinks the content is objectionable.