Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 57.6%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
19 oct. 26, 14:55 UTC1 janv. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill the Pope visit Cuba in 2026?
PredictItWho will win Nuevo Leon's 2027 Gubernatorial Election?
Manifold MarketsOn which continent will the next Pope to be born (meaning, as yet unborn) be born?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will the next Pope following Robert Prevost be from?
Manifold MarketsBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Pope Leo XIV physically arrives within the sovereign territory of the Argentine Republic at any time before January 1, 2027, at 00:00 UTC.
- This market resolves to NO if Pope Leo XIV does not visit Argentina prior to that cutoff, including if the planned apostolic journey is cancelled, indefinitely suspended, or rescheduled for 2027 or later.
- The primary source of truth will be official communications from the Holy See Press Office, supplemented by consensus coverage from major international news agencies (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press).
- Pope Leo XIV scheduled an apostolic journey to Uruguay, Argentina, and Peru for November 6–17, 2026.
- The Argentine itinerary was planned for November 8–11, 2026, featuring events in Buenos Aires, Córdoba, and Luján.