Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 8 juil. 2026, 11:59 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Labour 32%+2.0ptEn tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 jours
Obsolète17 janv. 26, 13:3415 août 29, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Labour32%
Marchés Associés
Clacton by-election Winner
17 k €Nigel Farage: 96%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
3 k €None before 2027: 46%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next Prime Minister of Greece?
1,1 k €Kyriakos Mitsotakis: 89%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?
828,6 €Oui: 7.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
UK snap election announced?
50 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 1%
KALSHI
KALSHI
How many seats will the UK Conservative Party win at the next general election?
43,9 €>=50: 82.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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Polymarket odds: Lula leads Brazil 2026 race at 61.5% after 12pp jumpBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot tops Israel PM market at 42.7% on $26.9MBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as 2028 field stays fragmentedBlockchain.NewsRègles
The largest party by number of MPs after the next General Election will receive 40% at resolution.
- Second will receive 30%, third 20% and fourth 10%.
- All others will resolve NO.
- I will add additional parties if I deem it necessary.