Prévision communautaire actuelle
>=50 82.2%En tête parmi 7 options
>=50 82.2%Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète14 juil. 24, 19:21 UTC1 janv. 30, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Kemi Badenoch lead the Conservative party into the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsWho will become the next permanent leader of the UK Conservative Party after Kemi Badenoch?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election?
Manifold MarketsWho will lead the Conservative Party into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia?
KalshiB.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner
PolymarketRègles
The Conservatives won 121 seats in the 2024 general election.
- How many will they win in the next one?
- If the Conservative party splits into multiple parties, or some MPs defect to other parties, the party that is considered the "real" Conservative Party will be the one who the largest number of the 121 MPs elected in July 2024 are members of.