Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.5%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 38 minutes
5 déc. 25, 21:02 UTC31 déc. 34, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the new Harry Potter series premiere before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsNew Harry Potter series will be considered woke?
Manifold MarketsHow many minutes of Harry Potter 2026 series will be streamed in the US in the first year?
Manifold MarketsHarry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWhat will be true of season 1 of the new Harry Potter reboot series?
Manifold MarketsEbenezer · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRègles
Resolves NO if the series finishes adapting the book series up to and including the Deathly Hallows.
- Otherwise, resolves YES if a cancellation is officially announced, or if more than 2 years have passed since the last part with no release in sight.
- Update 2026-05-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the series diverges from the books but finishes on its own terms:
- If it feels rushed, resolves YES
- If it feels well-paced and covers a roughly equivalent length of events, resolves NO
- If particularly close, trader consensus will be sought; if no reasonable consensus, resolves N/A
