[Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?
ChinaOne-Off3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.5%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 heures
Obsolète10 juil. 24, 22:57 UTC2 janv. 30, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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KalshiRègles
Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/21869/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question resolves as Yes if, before January 1, 2030, the U.S. makes an official statement threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan, if Taiwan is attacked by an adversary.
- The question resolves as No otherwise.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour [Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 90% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand [Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan? sera-t-il résolu ?
- [Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2030.
- Comment [Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?