[Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?
ChineOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.5%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard10 juil. 24, 22:57 UTC2 janv. 30, 12:00 UTC
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Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/21869/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question resolves as Yes if, before January 1, 2030, the U.S. makes an official statement threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan, if Taiwan is attacked by an adversary.
- The question resolves as No otherwise.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.