Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 64.8%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard30 oct. 23, 21:36 UTC2 janv. 30, 01:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If this person is elected Deputy Leader of Labour in 2025, will the Prime Minister on January 1st 2030 be Labour?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the UK Prime Minister on 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiNext Prime Minister of Spain?
PolymarketRègles
Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/5414/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve as Yes if the UK Prime Minister on January 1, 2030 is a member of the Labour Party.
- Otherwise, the question resolves negatively.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.