Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 64.8%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète30 oct. 23, 21:36 UTC2 janv. 30, 01:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election?
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PolymarketRègles
Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/5414/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve as Yes if the UK Prime Minister on January 1, 2030 is a member of the Labour Party.
- Otherwise, the question resolves negatively.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour [Metaculus] Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 65% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand [Metaculus] Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- [Metaculus] Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2030.
- Comment [Metaculus] Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?