Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 58%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
27 janv. 24, 19:19 UTC2 janv. 28, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
By 2030, will Tesla mass produce a colour changing car?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI agent mass-produce mass-consumed creative fiction (>1000 readers) on a public platform by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028?
Manifold MarketsTesla sells humanoid robots to the public in 2027
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets October 29 - October 31, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/19879/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- The question resolves Yes if credible reports indicate Tesla has manufactured at least one thousand humanoid robots of an identical model before January 1, 2028.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
- Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically.