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[Metaculus] Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?
ChinaOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 55.8%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète18 mai 24, 16:42 UTC2 janv. 30, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/21805/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question resolves as Yes if, before January 1, 2030, China carries out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure that causes loss of electricity for at least 10,000 people for at least 1 day.
- The question resolves as No otherwise.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour [Metaculus] Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 56% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand [Metaculus] Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- [Metaculus] Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2030.
- Comment [Metaculus] Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?