Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 50.8%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard24 oct. 26, 05:59 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill any of Petrobras, Banco do Brasil or Caixa Economica Federal be privatized until EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill ExxonMobil or ConocoPhillips officially announce a new joint venture or production agreement in Venezuela in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Brazilian Federal Government have a majority stake in Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais (CEMIG) before 2027?
Manifold MarketsMeta’s Market Cap end of October 2026?
PolymarketOpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Mercado Pago (or its parent company MercadoLibre, specifically for Mercado Pago’s operations) receives official regulatory authorization to operate as a full commercial/multiple banking institution (e.g., Institución de Banca Múltiple in Mexico or a full banking charter/license in any primary operating jurisdiction such as Mexico or Brazil) before January 1, 2027, 00:00 UTC.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Resolution will be verified using official announcements from relevant financial regulators (such as Mexico's Comisión Nacional Bancaria y de Valores (CNBV) or Brazil's Banco Central do Brasil (BCB)) or official investor relations disclosures and press releases from MercadoLibre confirming receipt of a banking license.
- Note: Maintaining or securing non-bank fintech registrations (such as an Electronic Payment Funds Institution / IFPE license in Mexico or a payment institution / IP license in Brazil) does not qualify; the license granted must explicitly be a full banking license.
- Preliminary or conditional approvals qualify only if official regulatory documentation confirms full authorization to operate or establish the banking entity.
