Kalshi offers at least one sports prediction contract in January 2027
RégulationOne-OffCommodities4moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 85.7%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète1 oct. 25, 19:00 UTC31 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This market predicts whether Kalshi will offer any sports prediction contracts (such as team championships, game outcomes, etc.) during January 2027.
- Kalshi began offering sports contracts in January 2025 after self-certifying them with the CFTC.
- Since then, they've faced legal challenges from multiple states, with mixed results in court.
- Some federal courts have ruled that the Commodity Exchange Act preempts state gambling laws (Nevada, New Jersey), while others have ruled in favor of state regulation (Maryland).
- The market will resolve YES if Kalshi offers at least one sports-related prediction contract (defined as a prediction on a sports team to win or lose a sporting event) at any point during January 2027.
- It will resolve NO if Kalshi offers zero sports-related prediction contracts during that month.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Kalshi offers at least one sports prediction contract in January 2027 ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 86% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Kalshi offers at least one sports prediction contract in January 2027 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Kalshi offers at least one sports prediction contract in January 2027 doit être résolu le 31 janvier 2027.
- Comment Kalshi offers at least one sports prediction contract in January 2027 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market predicts whether Kalshi will offer any sports prediction contracts (such as team championships, game outcomes, etc.) during January 2027.