JD Vance and Usha Vance announce separation or divorce before June 1st 2029
One-OffUS PoliticsPolitique2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 85%
Prévisionnistes
52
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète7 févr. 25, 17:57 UTC1 juin 29, 23:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will JD Vance and Usha Vance announce a divorce by the end of 2026?
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PolymarketWhat will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if JD Vance and Usha Vance publicly announce their separation or divorce, or if credible media sources report their separation/divorce filing before June 1st, 2029.
- Resolution will be based on reports from major news outlets like ABC News, Fox News, or other mainstream media sources.
- The date is chosen to be after the current term as VP and give them enough time to execute on a decision they might have made but held off on during his time as VP and a potential campaign for his own presidency
- Update 2025-11-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Usha Vance has an "accident" (dies), this would not count as a separation or divorce and the market would resolve NO.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour JD Vance and Usha Vance announce separation or divorce before June 1st 2029 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 85% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand JD Vance and Usha Vance announce separation or divorce before June 1st 2029 sera-t-il résolu ?
- JD Vance and Usha Vance announce separation or divorce before June 1st 2029 doit être résolu le 1 juin 2029.
- Comment JD Vance and Usha Vance announce separation or divorce before June 1st 2029 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if JD Vance and Usha Vance publicly announce their separation or divorce, or if credible media sources report their separation/divorce filing before June 1st, 2029.